Paju Citizen 1-2 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-11.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.25/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.59
-4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
04.05.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-3 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
09.07.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
26.03.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
13.08.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
17.04.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
13.11.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation nicked a narrow win over Paju Citizen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Busan Transportation made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paju Citizen and 0.67 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Paju Citizen 1-2 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 35%, draw 31%, Busan Transportation 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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