Dugopolje 0-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 45%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.48/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.75
-46% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vukovar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
02.12.2023 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 0-2 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar squeezed past Dugopolje 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vukovar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vukovar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dugopolje and 1.50 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Vukovar?

Dugopolje 0-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 38%, draw 25%, Vukovar 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
31 Aug 2024
17:00 Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo Analysis →