Jong Sparta 1-2 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.62/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.01
-50% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-3 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
1-2
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg nicked a narrow win over Jong Sparta 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; HHC Hardenberg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 54% of the ball to HHC Hardenberg's 46%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs HHC Hardenberg?

Jong Sparta 1-2 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 39%, draw 23%, HHC Hardenberg 38%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jong Sparta)
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