Jong Sparta 0-3 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.38
Draw
36%
3.54
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.29
Over 2.5
43%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
38%
-8.8pp
36%
Draw
25%
+10.7pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
40%
+17.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
60%
-17.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.03/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-28% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
0-3
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg ran out comfortable winners over Jong Sparta 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 35%) promised a tight game; HHC Hardenberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 50% of the ball to HHC Hardenberg's 50%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs HHC Hardenberg?

Jong Sparta 0-3 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 29%, draw 36%, HHC Hardenberg 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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