Debrecen 3-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.74/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.54
+6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.0 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
426 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 5-1 HT 4-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
25.11.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
13.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
23.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
28.01.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
30.08.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 4-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
3-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50 xG 0.65
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
395 Passes 148
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
43 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen got the better of Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Debrecen had 67% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 33%, shots finished 23-3, expected goals 2.50 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Debrecen and 1.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Debrecen 3-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 50%, draw 25%, Zalaegerszegi TE 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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31 Aug 2024
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