Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.6pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.31/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.59
+27% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
21.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
03.02.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
22.07.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
27.01.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-3 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
25.11.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg saw off Correcaminos UAT 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.50 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT?

Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 58%, draw 24%, Correcaminos UAT 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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