FC Sheriff 1-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 19%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.42/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.85
-30% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Milsami
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
31.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
05.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
27.08.2023 Milsami Milsami 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
20.05.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 3-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
15.04.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-1
AWAY Milsami
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff and Milsami couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FC Sheriff carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 58% of the ball to Milsami's 42%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for Milsami.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

FC Sheriff 1-1 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 56%, draw 25%, Milsami 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
31 Aug 2024
17:00 Dacia-Buiucani vs Zimbru Analysis →