31/08/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Ardal vs Forde Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
10%
18%
Draw
16%
57%
Away Win
74%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ardal v Forde — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ardal
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Forde
EU Bookmakers 78%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
1.56/2.57
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.97/0.91
+36%
/
+12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+41%
/
+33%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
6
248 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
411 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.5
Ardal vs Forde Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ardal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Forde
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ardal vs Forde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Forde cruised past Ardal 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forde as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Ardal vs Forde?
Ardal 0-5 Forde in the Norway - 3rd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ardal vs Forde?
Before kick-off our model rated an Forde win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ardal 25%, draw 18%, Forde 57%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Forde)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
31 Aug 2024