Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 31 Aug 2024

Radomiak Radom
2-1 HT 1-0
Cracovia Krakow
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.31
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.15
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
6.18
X/X
9%
4.46
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.29
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · X/2 at 6.18 — our 17% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.51/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.97
-28% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
25.0 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.18 xG 1.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 Passes 252
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 6-0 HT 3-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
05.08.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
15.04.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
30.09.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
22.04.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
29.10.2021 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-2 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL

Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
2-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.07 xG 1.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
279 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom squeezed past Cracovia Krakow 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Radomiak Radom made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 48% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 52%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 1.07 to 1.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cracovia Krakow.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Radomiak Radom and 2.33 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow?

Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 26%, Cracovia Krakow 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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