Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1 EV+ ✓
23%
4.71
X/2
8%
6.64
X/X
11%
4.32
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
20%
4.93
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.71 — our 23% vs market 16.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.35/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.22
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.1 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Katowice
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
25.04.2015 Katowice Katowice 0-5 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL1
28.09.2014 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1-0
AWAY Katowice
1.04 xG 1.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
276 Passes 321
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 38
17 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin nicked a narrow win over Katowice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zaglebie Lubin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 48% of the ball to Katowice's 52%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.04 to 1.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Katowice.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 0.00 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Katowice?

Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 41%, draw 25%, Katowice 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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