Hermannstadt 6-2 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 34% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
2.23/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.73
+10% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
24.11.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
23.07.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-3 HT 0-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
15.05.2021 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
12.04.2021 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
20.12.2020 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
6-2
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
4.21 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
392 Passes 468
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt swept aside CSMS Iaşi 6-2. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hermannstadt found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 47% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 53%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 4.21 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSMS Iaşi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hermannstadt and 0.67 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi?

Hermannstadt 6-2 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 40%, draw 28%, CSMS Iaşi 32%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hermannstadt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hermannstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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