Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0-3 HT 0-1
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.54
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.38 — our 33% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
16.5
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
7%
24.45
X/1
4%
18.8
X/2
21%
3.27
X/X
12%
6.53
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.57
2/X
7%
23.6
Value flag · 1/X at 24.45 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.7pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-11.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-6.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.8pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.57/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.77
-22% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
15.8 Crosses 21.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.54 xG 1.92
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
218 Passes 499
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
22.07.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
04.03.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
16.10.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
21.05.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
19.11.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-1 HT 3-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg swept aside Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.33 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 15%, draw 25%, Zenit St. Petersburg 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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