Spartak Moskova 1-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
19%
3.78
X/2
10%
11.45
X/X
11%
5.93
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
9%
8.75
2/X
5%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.72/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.56
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.7 Crosses 12.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
374 Passes 237
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
05.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-4 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
16.04.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
24.07.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
14.07.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-4 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
28.02.2021 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
1-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.33 xG 0.54
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
475 Passes 140
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova squeezed past Rubin Kazan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 71% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 29%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.33 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.00 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Rubin Kazan?

Spartak Moskova 1-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 52%, draw 23%, Rubin Kazan 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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