Al Najma 1-2 Al Batin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
27%
+11.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Batin EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.59/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.58
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Batin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.05.2024 Al Batin Al Batin 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
12.12.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Batin Al Batin SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Batin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Batin edged past Al Najma 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Batin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Najma and 0.50 for Al Batin.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Batin?

Al Najma 1-2 Al Batin in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Batin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Batin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 36%, draw 25%, Al Batin 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Batin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Batin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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