Karpaty Lviv 1-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 36%
-23% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.06/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.20
-11% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
15.12.2019 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 2-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
14.09.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 2-1 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
12.05.2019 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-1 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
02.04.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 4-0 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
24.02.2019 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-4 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
15.09.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
1-1
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv and Vorskla Poltava shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vorskla Poltava at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karpaty Lviv had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 0.83 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Vorskla Poltava?

Karpaty Lviv 1-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 31%, draw 27%, Vorskla Poltava 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vorskla Poltava), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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