Chornomorets Odessa 1-4 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
17%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Polessya
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
30.03.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-4 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
16.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya cruised past Chornomorets Odessa 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chornomorets Odessa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 0.50 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Polessya?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-4 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 18%, draw 29%, Polessya 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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