Aris Saloniki 1-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.55
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.1
X/2
9%
8.19
X/X
19%
4.16
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
12%
6.74
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.24/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.98
-19% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
14.7 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
367 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-2 HT 1-2 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.09.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-2 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
08.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
11.09.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
26.02.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.12.2021 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.87 xG 1.21
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
453 Passes 245
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki and Asteras Tripolis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aris Saloniki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 61% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.87 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.83 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis?

Aris Saloniki 1-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 42%, draw 29%, Asteras Tripolis 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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