Aberdeen vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberdeen v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Aberdeen
İKLK
2-1
HT 0-1
Falkirk
İKLK
1-0
HT 1-0
Falkirk
İKP
3-1
HT 2-1
Aberdeen
İKP
0-1
HT 0-1
Falkirk
İKP
0-0
HT 0-0
Aberdeen
İKP
Aberdeen 0-1 Falkirk — Actual Match Statistics
Falkirk nicked a narrow win over Aberdeen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Aberdeen had 38% of the ball to Falkirk's 62%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.96 to 1.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aberdeen and 0.83 for Falkirk.
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Aberdeen 0-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 48%, draw 26%, Falkirk 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.