Hibernian 1-1 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.47
X/2
9%
7.6
X/X
14%
4.6
2/1
7%
24.5
2/2
11%
5.89
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.46
-8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
25.4 Crosses 22.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
0W-3D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-2 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
16.02.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
04.08.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-3 HT 0-3 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
08.11.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
1-1
AWAY St. Mirren
2.42 xG 0.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 7
347 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian and St. Mirren couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hibernian had 55% of the ball to St. Mirren's 45%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.42 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hibernian and 2.00 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs St. Mirren?

Hibernian 1-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 49%, draw 26%, St. Mirren 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hibernian), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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