Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
-8.0pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
0.96/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.73
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
27.04.2025 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
25.09.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 2-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
27.08.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu squeezed past Deportivo Madryn 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 35% / 36%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Maipu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.25 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Deportivo Madryn?

Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 28%, draw 35%, Deportivo Madryn 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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