Almagro 2-2 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
40%
2.63
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
Over 2.5
22%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.75
No
66%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
51%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
40%
Draw
35%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-5.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.5pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -22%
0.98/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.93
-12% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Quilmes
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
27.04.2025 Quilmes Quilmes 0-1 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
24.09.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
21.10.2019 Almagro Almagro 2-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
22.05.2005 Almagro Almagro 2-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
07.11.2004 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJ
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro and Quilmes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 40% / 21%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (78%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Almagro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Almagro and 0.60 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Quilmes?

Almagro 2-2 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Almagro 39%, draw 40%, Quilmes 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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