Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
18%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.21
No
57%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.13
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
15%
5.07
6+
2%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Paranaense The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino The Market 24%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
0.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
Bad Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 2.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
402 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.04.2025 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2 - 1
AWAY Novorizontino
1.59 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Atletico Paranaense vs Novorizontino
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Paranaense squeezed past Novorizontino 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Atletico Paranaense's favour, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.59 to 0.80.

Atletico Paranaense vs Novorizontino Result & Final Score

Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Paranaense vs Novorizontino Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 53%, draw 29%, Novorizontino 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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