Yeoju Sejong 1-2 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-7.8pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.24/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.04
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeoju Sejong
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
03.05.2025 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
07.07.2024 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 1-2 HT 0-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
16.03.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen nicked a narrow win over Yeoju Sejong 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 35% / 35% — and on the day Ulsan Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yeoju Sejong and 1.33 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Yeoju Sejong 1-2 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 30%, draw 35%, Ulsan Citizen 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✗ Under 2.5
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