Paju Citizen 2-1 Gangneung City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -13%
0.97/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.26
-24% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gangneung City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
04.05.2025 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
06.07.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
16.03.2024 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 1-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
02.09.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
07.05.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
22.10.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen nicked a narrow win over Gangneung City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paju Citizen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paju Citizen and 0.67 for Gangneung City.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Paju Citizen 2-1 Gangneung City in the South Kore - K3 League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 43%, draw 21%, Gangneung City 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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