Gangneung City 1-1 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.88
No
38%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
49%
+13.4pp
38%
BTTS No
51%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.33/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.13
+8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangneung City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Paju Citizen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.07.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
16.03.2024 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 1-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
02.09.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
07.05.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
22.10.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
10.04.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gangneung City vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangneung City and Paju Citizen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gangneung City and 1.50 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Gangneung City vs Paju Citizen?

Gangneung City 1-1 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangneung City vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangneung City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gangneung City 35%, draw 33%, Paju Citizen 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gangneung City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gangneung City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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