Genesis PN 1-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 27%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
2.17/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.54
+43% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
31.01.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
05.10.2024 Genesis PN 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-2 Genesis PN HON
14.03.2024 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
28.01.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
12.11.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 2-2 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN squeezed past CD Victoria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Genesis PN as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Genesis PN and 1.17 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs CD Victoria?

Genesis PN 1-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 46%, draw 23%, CD Victoria 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genesis PN) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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