Marathon 2-0 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.7pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +20%
1.26/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.02
-8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
241 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
28.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.10.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 1-2 Marathon Marathon HON
26.05.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 1-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
20.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon saw off CD Olimpia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Marathon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marathon and 1.67 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Marathon 2-0 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marathon 36%, draw 33%, CD Olimpia 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
31 Aug 2025
00:00 Genesis PN vs CD Victoria Analysis →