Okzhetpes 0-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
65%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.7pp
65%
Away Win
59%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
0.75/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.85
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kairat
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 14
24.05.2025 Kairat Kairat 1-2 HT 0-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
15.07.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
03.06.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
27.09.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 3-3 HT 2-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
11.03.2020 Kairat Kairat 5-0 HT 2-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
05.04.2015 Kairat Kairat 4-0 HT 2-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat squeezed past Okzhetpes 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Okzhetpes and 2.67 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Kairat?

Okzhetpes 0-1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 17%, draw 18%, Kairat 65%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Over 2.5
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