Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.74
Over 2.5
33%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
22%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
54%
+13.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
46%
-13.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.1pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.44/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.31
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Valletta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
28.10.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
15.02.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
11.02.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
08.10.2022 Valletta Valletta 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
13.12.2021 Valletta Valletta 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1-1
AWAY Valletta
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans and Valletta shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 60% of the ball to Valletta's 40%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.50 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta?

Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 44%, draw 32%, Valletta 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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