FC Serpa 3-0 Portel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Serpa EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Portel EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Serpa
3-0
AWAY Portel
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Serpa vs Portel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Serpa cruised past Portel 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Serpa as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Serpa had 56% of the ball to Portel's 44%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of FC Serpa vs Portel?

FC Serpa 3-0 Portel in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Serpa vs Portel?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Serpa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FC Serpa 62%, draw 22%, Portel 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Serpa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Serpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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