Vilaverdense vs Monçao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vilaverdense v Monçao — Team-Based Signals
Vilaverdense 0-1 Monçao — Actual Match Statistics
Monçao came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Vilaverdense 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
File this under upsets: a 56% lean on Vilaverdense went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 56% to 44% in Vilaverdense's favour, shots finished 10-16.
Vilaverdense vs Monçao Result & Final Score
Vilaverdense 0 - 1 Monçao in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vilaverdense vs Monçao Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Vilaverdense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 56%, draw 24%, Monçao 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vilaverdense) went the other way.