Vilaverdense 0-1 Monçao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.74
Over 2.5
57%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.96
No
40%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
54%
-10.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
46%
+10.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
47%
+13.3pp
40%
BTTS No
53%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Monçao EU Bookmakers 23%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
484 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
0-1
AWAY Monçao
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Monçao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monçao nicked a narrow win over Vilaverdense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vilaverdense at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 56% of the ball to Monçao's 44%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Monçao?

Vilaverdense 0-1 Monçao in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Monçao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilaverdense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 52%, draw 21%, Monçao 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vilaverdense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POK More Portugal - Cup
31 Aug 2025
00:00 Carregal do Sal vs Mortagua Analysis →
00:00 Celoricense vs Celeiros Analysis →
00:00 Aparecida FC vs Vila Mea Analysis →
13:00 Rebordosa vs Leça Analysis →
13:00 Salgueiros vs Pontassolense Analysis →
13:00 Vila Caíz vs Ribeira Brava Analysis →