Ural vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ural v Fakel — Team-Based Signals
Ural vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Fakel
RUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Fakel
RUS
0-0
HT 0-0
Ural
RUS
Ural 2-0 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics
Ural saw off Fakel 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Ural had 59% of the ball to Fakel's 41%, shots finished 10-12.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ural and 0.00 for Fakel.
What was the final score of Ural vs Fakel?
Ural 2-0 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ural vs Fakel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ural 47%, draw 28%, Fakel 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.