Fakel 0-0 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 12 May 2024

Fakel
0-0 HT 0-0
Ural
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Fakel vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.01
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
17%
5.19
X/2
8%
5.51
X/X
17%
3.34
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.39
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fakel v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
0.93/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.21
-32% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.5 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Fakel vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ural
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.69 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
218 Passes 296
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Ural Ural 0-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
12.11.2022 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
12.08.2022 Fakel Fakel 0-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS

Fakel 0-0 Ural — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-0
AWAY Ural
0.84 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
169 Passes 219
60% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 29
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and Ural played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fakel had 46% of the ball to Ural's 54%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.84 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fakel and 0.67 for Ural.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Ural?

Fakel 0-0 Ural in the Russia - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fakel 38%, draw 31%, Ural 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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