FC Sochi 6-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.61
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.36
X/2
13%
7.9
X/X
10%
4.42
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.05
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.53/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.39
+16% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.7 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.83 xG 0.60
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
465 Passes 219
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
22.05.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.08.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
01.07.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi HAZ
13.05.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
26.07.2021 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi ran out comfortable winners over Pari Nizhny Novgorod 6-1. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Sochi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pari Nizhny Novgorod led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Sochi and 1.33 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

FC Sochi 6-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 45%, draw 25%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 30%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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