Gençlerbirliği 1-3 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 31 Aug 2025

Gençlerbirliği
1-3 HT 0-3
Fenerbahçe
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
62%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.85
No
40%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
21.5
1/X
7%
18.4
X/1
8%
11.9
X/2
23%
3.89
X/X
6%
5.94
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.83
2/X
6%
16.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.5 — our 14% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
62%
Away Win
62%
+0.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
50%
+10.5pp
40%
BTTS No
50%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gençlerbirliği v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 66%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.12/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.98
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
18.4 Crosses 20.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.40 xG 2.64
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
218 Passes 434
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.03.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
21.11.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-5 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
07.07.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
06.12.2019 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-2 HT 3-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
03.02.2018 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-2 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
27.08.2017 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-2 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL

Gençlerbirliği 1-3 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-3
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.16 xG 1.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
303 Passes 511
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe saw off Gençlerbirliği 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 38% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 62%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.16 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 2.67 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe?

Gençlerbirliği 1-3 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 19%, draw 19%, Fenerbahçe 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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