Trabzonspor 1-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
19%
4.1
X/2
8%
8.56
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.1
2/2
5%
7.04
2/X
8%
15.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.1 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.84/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.54
+28% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.4 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samsunspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.93
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
434 Passes 235
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
04.01.2025 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
04.05.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-1 HT 3-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
11.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
21.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
29.07.2018 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-1
AWAY Samsunspor
0.61 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
374 Passes 284
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor and Samsunspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 55% of the ball to Samsunspor's 45%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.61 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.33 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor?

Trabzonspor 1-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 53%, draw 27%, Samsunspor 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trabzonspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
31 Aug 2025
19:00 Başakşehir FK vs Eyüpspor Analysis →
19:00 Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe Analysis →
21:30 Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş Analysis →