Trabzonspor 2-2 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 33% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.82
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
18%
5.95
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
13%
4.87
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
12%
3.7
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-7.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.6pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -15%
1.28/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
-1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
16.8 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Samsunspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 2.22
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
414 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
04.05.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-1 HT 3-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
11.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
21.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
29.07.2018 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor HAZ
27.03.2016 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 1-3 Samsunspor Samsunspor HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-2
AWAY Samsunspor
2.19 xG 1.07
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
513 Passes 276
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
44 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor and Samsunspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 63% of the ball to Samsunspor's 37%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.19 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.50 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor?

Trabzonspor 2-2 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 43%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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