Başakşehir FK 2-3 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.3pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.5pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.02/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.69
-50% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
24.0 Crosses 12.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
399 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.01.2025 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
26.05.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-6 HT 1-4 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
06.01.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
03.06.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
09.01.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
19.03.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
2-3
AWAY Adana Demirspor
4.38 xG 1.64
72% Ball Possession 28%
31 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 0
507 Passes 165
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
55 Box Touches 9
45 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adana Demirspor nicked a narrow win over Başakşehir FK 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Başakşehir FK carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 72% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 28%, shots finished 31-8, expected goals 4.38 to 1.64 — on chances, Başakşehir FK could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.17 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Başakşehir FK 2-3 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 63%, draw 21%, Adana Demirspor 17%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Başakşehir FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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