Adana Demirspor 0-1 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
50%
Away Win
56%
-6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 61%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.08/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.21
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -13%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
13.3 Crosses 20.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.75 xG 1.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 409
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-6 HT 1-4 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
06.01.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
03.06.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
09.01.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
19.03.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
01.11.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
0-1
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.52 xG 1.58
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
264 Passes 476
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK nicked a narrow win over Adana Demirspor 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 40% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 60%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.52 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adana Demirspor and 2.33 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Adana Demirspor 0-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 26%, draw 25%, Başakşehir FK 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Over 2.5
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