Galatasaray 2-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.66
2-3 Goals
33%
2.13
4-5 Goals
31%
2.41
6+ Goals
17%
4.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.3
X/1
19%
3.76
X/2
9%
18.5
X/X
9%
9.28
2/1
6%
19.35
2/2
6%
12.35
2/X
5%
20.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.45/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.86
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
25.0 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Göztepe
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.07 xG 1.66
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 2-3 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
26.09.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
17.04.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-3 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
22.12.2020 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-1 HT 2-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
18.07.2020 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
21.12.2019 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
2-1
AWAY Göztepe
1.64 xG 0.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
302 Passes 188
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray nicked a narrow win over Göztepe 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Galatasaray had 59% of the ball to Göztepe's 41%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.64 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Galatasaray and 1.33 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Göztepe?

Galatasaray 2-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 59%, draw 21%, Göztepe 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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