Antalyaspor 1-4 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.82
Over 2.5
59%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.16
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.94
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
8%
4.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
2/2
20%
3.46
2/X
10%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
51%
-9.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
49%
+9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.43/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.28
+15% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.5 Crosses 6.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Eyüpspor
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
17.12.2019 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK
04.12.2019 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TÜK
01.11.2012 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 7-0 HT 3-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
1-4
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.56 xG 3.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
364 Passes 348
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 26
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor cruised past Antalyaspor 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Eyüpspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 52% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 48%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.56 to 3.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Antalyaspor and 0.67 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Eyüpspor?

Antalyaspor 1-4 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 39%, draw 23%, Eyüpspor 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Antalyaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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