Beşiktaş 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.94
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
13%
4.25
X/2
7%
11.4
X/X
9%
6.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.0
2/2
5%
8.79
2/X
6%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.83/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.92
-10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.0 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.92 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.01.2025 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
03.05.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
09.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-4 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
09.01.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.08.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
28.04.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-3 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.48 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
419 Passes 283
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
40 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor edged past Beşiktaş 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Beşiktaş carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 58% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 42%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.48 to 0.95 — on chances, Beşiktaş could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.17 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Beşiktaş 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 60%, draw 21%, Çaykur Rizespor 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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