Gremio vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gremio v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
On our read, Gremio at home is the clear lean — the question is whether the price already knows it.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Gremio's last 5 home league games, and Chapecoense have lost 5 of their last 5 away league games.
Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Gremio against 0.67 for Chapecoense.
Gremio vs Chapecoense Kick-off Time
Gremio play Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/08/2026, kick-off 00:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Gremio vs Chapecoense Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Gremio vs Chapecoense is a Gremio win at about 63% probability, priced 1.53 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Gremio 63%, draw 23%, Chapecoense 14%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.