Como 1-5 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 31 Oct 2024

Como
1-5 HT 0-2
Lazio
📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.49
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
12%
6.33
X/2
12%
5.1
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
25%
3.29
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.17/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.09
+60% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
14.0 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lazio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.04.2003 Lazio Lazio 3-0 HT 2-0 Como Como İTA
17.11.2002 Como Como 1-3 HT 1-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
1-5
AWAY Lazio
1.07 xG 3.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
352 Passes 341
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Como vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio swept aside Como 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Como had 51% of the ball to Lazio's 49%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.07 to 3.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Como and 3.00 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Como vs Lazio?

Como 1-5 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Como 30%, draw 28%, Lazio 42%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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