Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-3
Fiorentina
İTA
6-0
HT 3-0
Genoa
İTA
1-2
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Fiorentina
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina squeezed past Genoa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Genoa had 32% of the ball to Fiorentina's 68%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.94 to 0.47 — on chances, Genoa could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Genoa and 2.50 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Genoa 26%, draw 25%, Fiorentina 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.