Punjab FC 3-2 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.53/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.10
-68% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.9 Crosses 21.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.10 xG 0.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
278 Passes 372
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HINSK
18.12.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
29.10.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 5-1 HT 3-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
19.06.2019 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC AFCŞL2
03.04.2019 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
3-2
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.92 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
223 Passes 225
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 19
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC edged past Chennaiyin FC 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Punjab FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Punjab FC had 49% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 51%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.92 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Punjab FC and 1.40 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs Chennaiyin FC?

Punjab FC 3-2 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 37%, draw 24%, Chennaiyin FC 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) ✗ BTTS No
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