Falubaz Zielona Góra 3-3 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
63%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
8%
+10.9pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
63%
Away Win
77%
-13.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falubaz Zielona Góra EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 81%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.19/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.79/1.41
+32% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -46%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
181 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falubaz Zielona Góra
3-3
AWAY Widzew Lodz
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falubaz Zielona Góra and Widzew Lodz shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Widzew Lodz at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Falubaz Zielona Góra had 37% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 63%, shots finished 10-25.

What was the final score of Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Widzew Lodz?

Falubaz Zielona Góra 3-3 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Falubaz Zielona Góra 19%, draw 18%, Widzew Lodz 63%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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