Miedz Legnica 1-2 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.5pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-11.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 69%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.18/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.76
-83% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +31%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.90 xG 1.56
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
222 Passes 526
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 29
6 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-2 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
16.09.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-2 HT 2-2 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
26.05.2020 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
1-2
AWAY Legia Varşova
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova nicked a narrow win over Miedz Legnica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 46% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 54%, shots finished 11-21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Miedz Legnica and 2.33 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Legia Varşova?

Miedz Legnica 1-2 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 22%, draw 26%, Legia Varşova 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ BTTS No
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