Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 31 Oct 2024

Al Shabab Riyadh
3-1 HT 1-0
Al Wehda
📅31/10/2024 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Wehda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
57%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 23% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Al Shabab Riyadh win — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shabab Riyadh v Al Wehda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.72/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.58
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.0 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Wehda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 1.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
18.08.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
18.05.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
05.01.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
30.05.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
25.01.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-4 HT 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD

Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 Al Wehda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3-1
AWAY Al Wehda
1.87 xG 2.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
555 Passes 328
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh saw off Al Wehda 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 60% of the ball to Al Wehda's 40%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.87 to 2.58 — on chances, Al Wehda could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.33 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Wehda?

Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 58%, draw 21%, Al Wehda 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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