Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 31 Oct 2024

Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
📅31/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ittihad-Jeddah v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
1.64/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.53
+25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
15.5 Crosses 19.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
346 Passes 342
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
06.10.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
26.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-4 HT 1-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.10.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
11.02.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
31.10.2020 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1-0
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.22 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
288 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 49% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.22 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.00 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 41%, draw 24%, Al Ahli Jeddah 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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